World Cup Projections

(Note: these didn’t turn out so great.)

Published at SB Nation.

2014 World Cup Projections:

The hardest part of building an international football ranking system is dealing with strength of schedule. By raw goals ratio, the three best teams in the world over the last several years are Brazil, Spain and Germany. That sounds good, but fourth is… Iran. Without accounting for schedule, there is no way to do this sort of analysis.